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March 13, 2026
Sinners or One Battle: what can we learn from this year’s anonymous Oscar ballots?
While Academy voters are supposed to keep their picks secret, another batch of anonymous ballots have leaked – giving us some insight on a hard-to-call race
TL;DR
- Anonymous Oscar ballots suggest Jessie Buckley is a sure win for her performance.
- Amy Madigan is identified as a potential dark horse in the Best Supporting Actress category.
- 'Sinners' appears to have a slight edge over 'One Battle After Another' based on voter sentiment from anonymous ballots, despite 'One Battle' winning more precursor awards.
- There is significant support for Paul Thomas Anderson to win Best Director, potentially with 'One Battle After Another' also taking Best Picture.
- Wagner Moura is emerging as a spoiler in the Best Actor category, challenging frontrunners Timothée Chalamet and Michael B. Jordan.
- New Academy rules requiring members to watch all films in a category have faced criticism from some voters.
- The Academy has become more diverse and modern since the #OscarsSoWhite controversy, leading to a more unpredictable awards race.
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