20% of U.S. jobs are highly vulnerable to robots and automation, economists say

February 18, 2026

TL;DR

Around 20% of U.S. jobs are highly vulnerable to automation in the next two decades, according to Oxford Economics.
The transportation and logistics sector is the most vulnerable, with up to 60% of jobs potentially automated.
Technologies like self-driving vehicles and warehouse automation are moving from research to widespread adoption.
Other vulnerable sectors include manufacturing, accommodation and catering, retail, wholesale, trade, and extraction.
While automation presents potential productivity gains and job losses, it's expected to be an incremental process.
New jobs will be created in maintaining, designing, and teaching the use of robots and automation technologies.
Self-service kiosks and robots could impact jobs in accommodation and catering, though full automation is not imminent.

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