economy

Markets raise chances for a Fed rate hike following hot inflation report

Market pricing took virtually any chance of a cut off the table between now and the end of 2027.

Markets raise chances for a Fed rate hike following hot inflation report

TL;DR

  • Traders have significantly reduced expectations for Fed rate cuts.
  • There's an increased probability of a Fed rate hike by the end of 2027.
  • Hotter-than-expected inflation, partly driven by soaring energy prices, is fueling these market shifts.
  • Incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faces a challenge in supporting rate cuts amidst rising inflation concerns.
  • Some economists suggest that stripping out volatile items like food and energy shows smaller price increases.
  • There is still only slight evidence that energy inflation is spreading throughout the economy.