The Guardian view on the US midterms: the cost of living is on the ballot, but this is about democracy too
Donald Trump’s unpopularity and the economic struggles of voters have boosted Democrats. But with less than a month to go, there is no complacency
TL;DR
- Democrats have seen a boost in support, attributed to Donald Trump's unpopularity and the impact of his policies on the cost of living.
- Surveys indicate a lead of about nine points for Democrats on the generic ballot, with prospects improving for taking the Senate.
- Reasons for caution include the Democrats' own unpopularity, a patchy electoral picture with struggles in some previously optimistic areas, and significant Republican advertising spending.
- Donald Trump's influence is a mixed bag, energizing his base but alienating other voters, with his actions impacting inflation and voter perceptions of elitism.
- The article frames the midterms not only as a referendum on economic stress but also as a critical moment for American democracy.
- If Democrats win both the House and Senate, they would regain legislative control and investigative powers.