economy

March 2, 2026

How escalating Iran conflict is driving up oil and gas prices

A near-halt to shipping in strait of Hormuz and attacks on Middle East refineries are threatening supplies and stoking inflation

How escalating Iran conflict is driving up oil and gas prices

TL;DR

  • Iran's counterstrikes have led to a near-standstill in shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global oil supplies.
  • Attacks on oil facilities, including Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura refinery, and LNG production in Qatar have disrupted energy supplies and driven up prices.
  • The conflict has caused oil prices to jump over 10% and European gas prices to reach their highest levels since the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine.
  • The rising energy costs pose an inflationary risk to Western economies, potentially impacting upcoming elections and government economic statements.
  • A prolonged conflict could lead to further price increases, with predictions of Brent crude reaching $100 per barrel.

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