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Airfare amid Iran war: Buy now or wait out the conflict? Experts weigh the risks

It could be risky to delay buying plane tickets and hoping fares will drop, according to travel experts.

Airfare amid Iran war: Buy now or wait out the conflict? Experts weigh the risks

TL;DR

  • Travel experts advise buying airfare sooner rather than later, as waiting is riskier than a potential price drop.
  • The Middle East conflict has triggered an oil supply shock, significantly increasing jet fuel costs and airfare prices.
  • Domestic round-trip flights have increased by about 8% since the Iran war began, while international fares have risen by 42%.
  • Airlines are passing on higher jet fuel costs, which typically account for 20%-30% of their expenses, through increased ticket prices, baggage fees, and fuel surcharges.
  • The impact of fuel costs on airfare is more pronounced on longer flights.
  • Experts recommend specific booking windows: 3-7 months ahead for domestic flights, and 4-10 months for international flights, with longer lead times for trips to Asia, Australia, and Africa.
  • Travelers considering summer trips may find better deals by flying in the fall shoulder season (September or October).