economy

January 30, 2026

January Barometer: S&P 500 squeaking out a gain this month is a good sign for rest of year

Volatility has been the name of the game thus far in 2026. Despite this, Wall Street is set to end the first month of the year with a very positive signal.

January Barometer: S&P 500 squeaking out a gain this month is a good sign for rest of year

TL;DR

  • The S&P 500 is expected to end January with a gain exceeding 1%.
  • A positive January historically precedes strong annual market performance.
  • The "January Barometer" has a strong track record, predicting annual advances in 41 of 46 positive Januarys.
  • Jeff Hirsch of the Stock Trader's Almanac considers it a highly predictive seasonal indicator.
  • Wall Street has overcome geopolitical events and threats to maintain positive momentum.
  • This would mark the fourth consecutive positive January for the S&P 500 if current gains hold.

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