What are the chances of a white Christmas where you live? Map shows likelihood of snow.
December 22, 2025 / 5:00 AM EST / CBS News
TL;DR
- Best chances for a white Christmas are in northern Wisconsin, Minnesota, North Dakota, the northern Great Lakes, the Adirondacks, northern New England, and northern Maine.
- A white Christmas is defined as at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on the morning of December 25th.
- A substantial ridge of high pressure will bring above-normal temperatures to the southern central Plains, affecting weather patterns into next week.
- Temperatures will be well above normal into Minnesota and the Dakotas, but existing snowpack may persist in northern latitudes.
- Chances for a white Christmas decrease significantly the farther west and south one goes, especially south of I-80.
- The Northeast is expected to remain near normal, avoiding the worst of the warm ridge.
- As of Friday, only about 22% of the Lower 48 states were covered by snow.
- Historically, Minneapolis-St. Paul has a high chance (74%) of a white Christmas.
- Other northern cities have lower historical odds, such as Cleveland (39%), Detroit (35%), Chicago (34%), Indianapolis (26%), and New York City (13%).
- Southern states have the lowest likelihood, with chances degrading significantly south of I-80, except possibly in the highest elevations of the Appalachian Mountains.