With Russia at the door and the US backing away, Europe has to build its own ‘way of war’
Even in a Europe-focused Nato 3.0, Washington would still want to call the shots. We need an insurance policy
TL;DR
- Russia's imperial ambitions pose an existential threat to Europe, potentially requiring a kinetic defense without full US support.
- European defense budgets are rising due to the realization that the US may not always provide assistance.
- The concept of 'Nato 3.0' envisions a European-led alliance, but this could weaken NATO overall and shift power dynamics.
- In a conflict scenario, European NATO allies would likely unite, but the absence of US support could fracture the alliance.
- If Europeans shoulder more responsibility in NATO, they will demand more rights and influence over the alliance's direction.
- Europe lacks the capabilities and command structures of the US, necessitating the development of alternative defense models.
- European-led 'coalitions of the willing' are emerging as a potential alternative to traditional alliances, focusing on collective European action.
- These coalitions need institutionalization at a political level, possibly through a European security council, to ensure permanence and effectiveness.