economy

January 2, 2026

The 2026 stock market is looking a lot like the bifurcated market of 2025

A look inside the S&P 500 shows a major division, with five sectors higher, led by industrials, and six sectors lower, led by consumer discretionary.

The 2026 stock market is looking a lot like the bifurcated market of 2025

TL;DR

  • The stock market opened 2026 showing a split performance, with five S&P 500 sectors higher and six lower.
  • This division is a continuation of a trend where traders are rotating out of nervous tech stocks into other groups.
  • While some strategists expect a broadening of the market led by economically sensitive companies, others express nervousness about high valuations and earnings growth expectations.
  • Semiconductor stocks, including Nvidia, Micron, and AMD, were a bright spot within the tech sector.
  • The Nasdaq Composite ended 2025 with two consecutive months of losses due to its heavy tech exposure.
  • Wall Street strategists surveyed by CNBC anticipate an 11% climb for the S&P 500 in 2026, a slower pace than recent years.

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