economy

February 26, 2026

Josh Brown likes this trash and recycling management giant that's within striking distance of a record

Josh Brown and Sean Russo break down this trash and recycling management giant.

Josh Brown likes this trash and recycling management giant that's within striking distance of a record

TL;DR

  • The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Trust is the largest shareholder in Waste Management (WM).
  • WM has undergone a multi-year reinvestment cycle ('planting years') involving $11.6 billion in capital expenditure from FY2022-FY2025.
  • Key investments include the acquisition of Stericycle for $7.5 billion, creating a Healthcare Solutions segment, and upgrades to landfill gas-to-energy plants and recycling facilities.
  • The company is projected to enter a 'year of harvest' in 2026, with capex collapsing and free cash flow expected to grow significantly.
  • WM anticipates 29% year-over-year FCF growth at the midpoint, marking the largest jump since Covid.
  • The stock is trading near its 52-week highs, showing constructive digestion under resistance, with a potential breakout above $238-$240.
  • Key figures like CEO Jim Fish and CFO David Reed have indicated 2026 as a year for harvesting cash and returning it to shareholders.

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