politics

March 18, 2026

US and Israel's strategy to kill Iran's top figures may prove counterproductive

Attempt to ‘decapitate’ state may harden resistance instead of destabilising regime

US and Israel's strategy to kill Iran's top figures may prove counterproductive

TL;DR

  • Israel's strategy to assassinate senior Iranian officials raises questions about its effectiveness in achieving regime change.
  • Experts are skeptical that targeted attacks can topple Iran's clerical regime, citing its institutional resilience.
  • Past Israeli assassination campaigns against groups like Hamas and Hezbollah have not led to their collapse, but rather resilience and hardened resistance.
  • The strategy risks rejuvenating a regime that was seen as stagnating and could lead to an internally unstable Iran prone to external violence.
  • A potential outcome is a 'wounded, revanchist, and ungovernable' Iran.
  • Critics argue the strategy offers no agency, choice, or justice for Iranians.

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