Iran is in the 'process of blinking' over the Strait of Hormuz, Petraeus says
Ex-CIA director David Petraeus said that an initial successful peace deal with Tehran would see the Strait opened without any conditions.
TL;DR
- Ex-CIA director David Petraeus believes Iran is "blinking" over the Strait of Hormuz.
- An initial successful peace deal would see the Strait opened without conditions.
- Iran must not be able to control traffic, charge tolls, or threaten closure of the Strait.
- Peace talks face hurdles concerning Iran's enriched uranium stockpile and passage tolls.
- If Iran gains control of the Strait, it could be strategically strengthened despite military damage.
- Iran's navy is largely sunk, and its missile capacity is reduced, but it can still threaten the Strait with mines, drones, and missiles.
- Other issues like Tehran's nuclear program and funding for proxy groups need to be addressed.
- U.S. Secretary of State indicated a deal could happen soon and that diplomacy will be given every chance to succeed.