economy

January 19, 2026

China birthrate shrinks to lowest on record as policies fail to to lift births

China's birthrate fell to a record low last year, underscoring a deepening demographic crisis as Beijing struggled to reverse a shrinking and aging population.

China birthrate shrinks to lowest on record as policies fail to to lift births

TL;DR

  • China's birthrate fell to a record low of 5.6 per 1,000 people in 2025.
  • Approximately 7.9 million babies were born last year, down from 9.5 million.
  • The population has declined for the fourth consecutive year, falling by 3.4 million to 1.405 billion.
  • The elderly population (60 and above) increased to 23% in 2025 from 22% in 2024.
  • Government incentives, including cash rewards and extended maternity leave, have not reversed the declining trend.
  • Economic pressures and workplace competition are contributing to young people delaying marriage and childbearing.
  • A shrinking workforce and aging population present major economic risks, including strain on the pension system and a smaller consumer base.
  • China's fertility rate was 1 birth per woman in 2023, below the global average of 2.2.

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