economy

The stock market has only done this 3 times since the Gulf War. It's not a good sign

The poor breadth in the stock market is drawing comparisons to the late 1990s, and worrying investors.

The stock market has only done this 3 times since the Gulf War. It's not a good sign

TL;DR

  • The S&P 500 is reaching all-time highs, but market breadth is poor, with only a few tech stocks driving the gains.
  • Memory chip stocks, particularly, have experienced significant growth, with Micron Technology shares more than doubling.
  • A concerning number of S&P 500 components are trading below their 50-day moving averages, a rare occurrence when the index is at new highs.
  • Historical data shows that the S&P 500 making new highs with more new lows than highs has preceded major market downturns, such as the dot-com bubble.
  • The 'Magnificent Seven' stocks account for over one-third of the S&P 500's market capitalization, highlighting the market's concentration.
  • Weakness in non-tech sectors and signs of struggle among Main Street consumers suggest underlying economic concerns.
  • Analysts warn that the tech sector might 'catch down' if broader market weakness persists, rather than the average stock 'catching up'.