War on Iran may provoke a terrorist attack in US

March 15, 2026

TL;DR

Experts believe the US and Israel's war on Iran has increased the risk of terrorist attacks on American soil.
Recent incidents, including shootings at Old Dominion University and a Michigan synagogue, and a bar shooting in Austin, highlight heightened dangers, though not directly linked to Iran.
Analysts suggest Iran may conduct 'asymmetric' attacks in response to US-Israeli military actions.
Instability and resource diversion within the FBI and Department of Homeland Security are cited as factors leaving the US underprepared.
Some experts and historians suggest a terrorist attack could be politically advantageous for Donald Trump in an election year.
Iran is believed to have previously plotted to kill Trump and former officials in revenge for the US assassination of Qassem Suleimani.
Concerns exist about Iran activating 'sleeper cells' in the US, though analysts are skeptical.
The long-term investment of the Iranian regime in building external capabilities and a desire for mass-casualty incidents are noted.
Readiness issues at the FBI and DHS, including diverted resources and personnel, are highlighted as significant concerns.
The potential for Iran to retaliate is seen as a rational response, with some suggesting Trump might be interested in such an outcome to justify extraordinary presidential powers.

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