European spy chiefs warn Moscow is planning more decisive action against Nato
Exclusive: Intelligence officers say Russian campaign could intensify ‘in months, not years’ – but that panic risks playing into Kremlin psy-ops
TL;DR
- European intelligence officials suggest Russia may test Nato's resolve with an attack within months.
- Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk stated that intelligence assessments point to a potential Russian attack on Nato territory in the coming months.
- French President Emmanuel Macron described Tusk's warnings as "sound and well-documented."
- Czech security service head Michal Koudelka mentioned possibilities including a limited incursion, false-flag provocations, or a massive influence campaign.
- Officials in Baltic countries are more cautious, citing stretched Russian resources in Ukraine and warning against panic that could benefit the Kremlin.
- Latvian security service director Normunds Mežviets stated there are no indications of an imminent attack but acknowledged Moscow's preparations for more decisive European action.
- Estonian foreign ministry official Jonatan Vseviov decried "panic on social media" and urged calmness while continuing support for Ukraine.
- Intelligence leaders agree that Russia's campaign of sabotage in Europe is likely to intensify, targeting infrastructure and defense industries.
- The goal of increased sabotage is to reduce support for Ukraine, create splits in Nato, and alarm European populations.
- Sweden's military intelligence head Thomas Nilsson described the recent armed drone incident at Leipzig airport as a "gamechanger."