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A Super El Niño Threatens Disaster. Trump is Handling it Recklessly

The administration interrupted data streams that are key to forecasting. These systems should not be vulnerable to political whims

A Super El Niño Threatens Disaster. Trump is Handling it Recklessly

TL;DR

  • A strong El Niño is expected to form, potentially causing severe droughts, wildfires, flooding, and active hurricane seasons.
  • Historical El Niño events have been linked to widespread famine and death due to lack of data and forecasting.
  • The Trump administration's National Science Foundation initiated the dismantling of the Ocean Observatories Initiative, a network of over 900 ocean sensors.
  • This action is viewed as an assault on federal climate science, aiming to weaken measurement capabilities and create uncertainty about climate change.
  • Congress intervened, passing a bill to halt the dismantling and preserve the network, leading to a temporary pause in removal and redeployment of sensors.
  • Despite the pause, the system's future is uncertain, with a panel to be convened, and data streams have already been interrupted.
  • The Ocean Observatories Initiative provides critical data on deep-ocean temperature, essential for forecasting climate shocks and managing fisheries.
  • Degrading these observation systems increases forecast errors and risks economic losses from disasters and impacts on fisheries.
  • Permanent protection for these critical monitoring systems is needed through legislative action to prevent them from being vulnerable to election outcomes.