economy

December 31, 2025

Here are 3 things Starbucks must deliver for a stock recovery in 2026

After a difficult year marked by slowing U.S. traffic and persistent weakness in China, shares of the coffee giant have struggled to find their footing.

Here are 3 things Starbucks must deliver for a stock recovery in 2026

TL;DR

  • Starbucks shares have struggled but are poised for a significant rebound in 2026.
  • CEO Brian Niccol aims to regain operational discipline and rebuild customer trust.
  • The company's turnaround depends on fixing the core U.S. business, showing value to customers, and stabilizing its China market.
  • The Green Apron reinvention plan, a $500 million investment, aims to simplify operations and improve customer satisfaction in U.S. stores.
  • Positive sales momentum in U.S. comparable stores in September and October offers early signs of progress.
  • Starbucks is innovating its menu and exploring ways to improve engagement with Rewards members to boost transaction volumes.
  • Challenges such as elevated restructuring costs and coffee inflation may create headwinds in early 2026.
  • Mizuho and Jefferies analysts express caution due to margin pressure and lack of visibility in the U.S. market.
  • Starbucks formed a joint venture with Boyu Capital to mitigate risks in the China market.
  • An investor day is scheduled for January 29, 2026, to provide further insights.

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