Tom Cotton back on top after shock poll suggested a blue Arkansas
EXCLUSIVE — A new poll shows that Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AR) is not in danger of losing his seat in deep red Arkansas, despite a July survey suggesting that his Democratic rival was within striking distance of the political upset of the year.
TL;DR
- A new J.L. Partners poll shows Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AR) leading Democratic rival Hallie Shoffner by 16 points.
- This contradicts a July poll by 2040 Strategy Group, which suggested Shoffner was within 3 points of Cotton.
- Despite the smaller lead compared to his 2020 win, Cotton leads among most demographics and has 89% support from Republicans.
- Cotton's job approval is positive at 52%, while Shoffner's is 32% approved and 39% disapproved.
- James Johnson of J.L. Partners stated that Arkansas is not in play for the Senate this year, despite Democrats performing better than in 2020.