tech

December 29, 2025

We're adding this AI giant back to the portfolio, recognizing things have changed

We can't let a bad call cloud our future thinking. Facts change, and we reconsider our investment theses.

We're adding this AI giant back to the portfolio, recognizing things have changed

TL;DR

  • Initiating a position in Alphabet (GOOGL) with 95 shares at approximately $313, representing a 0.76% portfolio weighting.
  • Previously exited Alphabet due to concerns about AI competition, market share risk, and DOJ-led breakup pressures.
  • Alphabet has since launched Gemini 3, developed on custom silicon in partnership with Broadcom, potentially driving margin expansion and new revenue.
  • Favorable court rulings protected Alphabet from spinning off Chrome and allowed the continuation of its partnership with Apple for search placement.
  • Apple's pursuit of third-party LLMs for Siri upgrades may benefit Google due to existing arrangements.
  • Gemini's valuation is considered undervalued compared to OpenAI, suggesting significant upside potential.
  • New rating for Alphabet is buy-equivalent 1 with a $350 price target.

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