economy

February 10, 2026

Overseas equities are beating their U.S. peers. What's next after this outperformance, per the charts

A surge in international and emerging markets equities raises the question of whether we’re in the early stages of a regime shift or is this just a trade.

Overseas equities are beating their U.S. peers. What's next after this outperformance, per the charts

TL;DR

  • International and emerging markets equities are outperforming U.S. equities, contrary to the U.S. AI narrative.
  • Investors cite onshoring policies and better overseas valuations as drivers for this rotation.
  • Visual analysis of ratio charts (e.g., SPX/EEM, SPX/ACWX) shows a recent pullback in U.S. outperformance after years of dominance.
  • There is evidence supporting a potential regime shift, leading to the inclusion of international exposure in some portfolios.
  • The author acknowledges doubts but is following market signals, rotating portfolios towards overseas markets based on anticipated future international economic growth.

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