March 2, 2026

Gas prices could jump as Middle East tensions threaten global oil supply

Gas prices could rise 25-50 cents per gallon as Middle East tensions threaten global oil supplies after strikes on Iran killed Supreme Leader Khamenei.

Gas prices could jump as Middle East tensions threaten global oil supply

TL;DR

  • Joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, raising concerns about Tehran's response and potential oil supply disruptions.
  • Economists predict a short-term increase of 25 to 50 cents per gallon in U.S. gas prices.
  • Oil prices have already risen $5 per barrel and wholesale gasoline prices by 11 cents per gallon.
  • The Strait of Hormuz, through which approximately 25% of global oil trade passes, is a key vulnerability.
  • Maersk has suspended vessel crossings through the Strait of Hormuz due to growing concerns.

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