economy

BMO raises S&P 500 year-end target citing ‘unprecedented’ earnings growth

BMO Capital's new year-end S&P 500 target of 7,850 implies that the benchmark index could rise 8% from here.

BMO raises S&P 500 year-end target citing ‘unprecedented’ earnings growth

TL;DR

  • BMO Capital Markets raised its 2026 year-end S&P 500 target to 7,850, predicting an 8% rally.
  • The rally is attributed to a robust macroeconomy and unprecedented earnings growth.
  • Forward earnings for the S&P 500 are at an unusual rate of 29%.
  • Earnings growth is also strong for mid-cap (18%) and small-cap (24%) stocks.
  • Inflation is predicted to be the main story of 2026, but earnings will likely be the near-term focus.
  • BMO maintains a bullish bias towards cyclical sectors.