economy

What to expect from the Federal Reserve monetary policy statement

At 2 p.m., the Federal Open Market Committee of the Federal Reserve Board will release its statement on monetary policy. The committee will keep the federal funds target range unchanged at 3.50%–3.75%. The fed funds rate is a key interest rate tool of the committee.

What to expect from the Federal Reserve monetary policy statement

TL;DR

  • The Federal Open Market Committee will keep the federal funds target range unchanged at 3.50%–3.75%.
  • Additional interest rate cuts are expected to be limited to at most one this year.
  • The committee requires greater confidence that inflation is moving toward the 2% target.
  • The Fed is concerned about the cumulative effect of four supply shocks on inflation.
  • Wage inflation is identified as a key metric to watch.
  • The committee is aware of its dual mandate: low inflation and full employment.
  • There is political speculation regarding Jerome Powell's potential departure as chairman.
  • Kevin Warsh is likely to be confirmed as Powell's successor.