economy

Stocks had a massive rally to end March. Why they're still not out of the woods

The stock market’s rip higher may not signal the all-clear investors are looking for.

Stocks had a massive rally to end March. Why they're still not out of the woods

TL;DR

  • The S&P 500 saw its best day since May 12, with a 2.9% surge attributed to potential de-escalation in U.S.-Iran relations.
  • Economists warn that energy price hikes could push inflation to nearly 4% and permanently raise price levels due to ongoing supply chain and fertilizer issues.
  • The market now fully expects the Federal Reserve to maintain steady interest rates through the end of the year.
  • Crude oil prices remain significantly elevated compared to the start of 2026, trading around $100 per barrel.
  • Market volatility, measured by the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX), remains high at around 25, indicating persistent uncertainty.
  • Technical strategists predict the S&P 500 will decline further before beginning a sustained upward trend.