economy

Chairman Warsh abstains from giving rate forecast as several members signal a hike in 2026

The median projection called for the federal funds rate to end 2026 at 3.8%, a quarter percentage point above the current target range.

Chairman Warsh abstains from giving rate forecast as several members signal a hike in 2026

TL;DR

  • Nine of 18 Federal Reserve officials project the federal funds rate to end 2026 above its current range.
  • The median projection for the federal funds rate at the end of 2026 is 3.8%, a quarter percentage point increase from the current target range.
  • Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh did not submit a forecast, stating it is not helpful in conducting policy.
  • Warsh intends to overhaul the central bank's communications strategy, including the 'dot plot' and news conferences.
  • The Fed's policy statement was significantly pared down, reflecting a potential shift in communication.