What will the U.S. economy look like in 2026? Experts weigh in on 5 key questions.

Updated on: December 31, 2025 / 10:32 AM EST / CBS News

What will the U.S. economy look like in 2026? Experts weigh in on 5 key questions.

TL;DR

  • The U.S. economy grew faster in 2025 than many experts predicted, with inflation remaining relatively low.
  • Despite economic growth, many Americans continue to struggle with the high cost of living, particularly for essentials like food, housing, and healthcare.
  • Inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, and is projected to cool to 2.4% in 2026, still impacting family finances.
  • The Federal Reserve has begun cutting interest rates, but faces conflicting pressures from inflation and a potentially cooling labor market.
  • Housing may become slightly more affordable in 2026 as mortgage rates remain low and home price growth slows.
  • The job market is expected to improve, with projected increases in payroll gains and wage growth, though AI adoption may temper this.
  • Concerns exist about whether AI-related stocks are overvalued and if a market bubble is forming, despite expectations of continued AI investment.