economy

Social Security 2027 COLA estimate is shrinking as inflation cools. Here's what to know.

August 12, 2026 / 11:41 AM EDT / CBS News

Social Security 2027 COLA estimate is shrinking as inflation cools. Here's what to know.

TL;DR

  • Projected 2027 Social Security COLA is now estimated at 3.5% to 3.6%, down from previous forecasts.
  • Easing inflation, with the July CPI showing a 3.4% annualized pace, is the reason for the revised estimates.
  • A 3.6% COLA could increase the average monthly benefit by about $75, to approximately $2,146.
  • The official 2027 COLA will be announced by the Social Security Administration on October 14th, based on July, August, and September CPI reports.
  • Despite benefit increases, many seniors feel the COLA doesn't keep pace with rising costs like groceries, housing, and healthcare.
  • A June survey found 89% of seniors felt the 2026 COLA of 2.8% was insufficient to cover inflation.