politics
Ukraine's Long Shot
The country may have hoped that deeper drone attacks would cause Russians to protest the war, but mass demonstrations don’t look likely.
TL;DR
- Ukraine has launched drone attacks on Russian oil refineries, causing nationwide fuel shortages and public frustration.
- Despite the inconveniences, mass protests are unlikely in Russia due to a historical tendency to endure hardship and a fear of government reprisal.
- The Soviet era fostered a culture of waiting and adapting to shortages, a mentality that persists in contemporary Russia.
- Government crackdowns on dissent, including arrests and the banning of political parties, further suppress protest.
- While some Russians report increased anxiety, overall public support for President Putin remains high, with many blaming external factors for their problems.
- The Russian government is increasing spending on national guard and law enforcement agencies, indicating preparedness for potential unrest.