Independent voters increasingly identify as Democrats: Poll

The percentage of independent voters who “lean more toward the Democratic Party” has ticked upwards ahead of November’s midterm elections, according to the latest quarterly party affiliation data aggregated by Gallup.

Independent voters increasingly identify as Democrats: Poll

TL;DR

  • Independent voters' preference for the Democratic Party has increased.
  • In Q2, 49% of independent voters leaned Democratic, versus 39% Republican.
  • This represents a four-percentage-point increase in favor of Democrats since Q1 2025.
  • Nationwide, 31% of voters now identify as Democrat, up from 28% when Trump took office.
  • The majority of voters still identify with neither party, with fluctuating percentages.