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NOAA's 2026 Atlantic hurricane season forecast predicts a below-average number of storms
Updated on: May 21, 2026 / 12:27 PM EDT / CBS News
TL;DR
- NOAA predicts a below-average Atlantic hurricane season with 8-14 named storms, 3-6 hurricanes, and 1-3 major hurricanes.
- Officials stress that preparedness is vital, as one storm can cause significant damage regardless of the season's overall activity.
- Technological advancements are expected to improve storm preparedness.
- There is a 55% chance of below-normal activity, a 35% chance of near-normal activity, and a 10% chance of above-normal activity.
- The upcoming season may be influenced by the transition into El Niño, which historically correlates with fewer Atlantic storms.
- Colorado State University's forecast also predicts slightly less activity than usual, with 13 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes.
- A list of 21 preemptively compiled names for tropical storms and hurricanes has been released.