economy

The Fed's preferred inflation gauge shows prices rising at fastest pace in 3 years

Updated on: June 25, 2026 / 10:38 AM EDT / CBS News

The Fed's preferred inflation gauge shows prices rising at fastest pace in 3 years

TL;DR

  • The PCE index rose 4.1% annually in May, a three-year high, with core PCE up 3.4%.
  • The Iran war contributed to rising oil and gasoline prices, impacting consumer fuel costs.
  • Analysts anticipate inflation may peak due to falling crude oil prices after the Strait of Hormuz situation eased.
  • Consumer spending and incomes rose in real terms, supported by tax refunds and stock market gains.
  • The Fed is committed to lowering inflation to 2% but held interest rates steady, leaving room for future hikes.
  • Higher prices are also attributed to the AI buildout affecting computer components and increased service costs like restaurant meals and healthcare.
  • Stronger GDP growth and falling energy prices might lead the Fed to maintain current interest rates.
  • The Fed is expected to keep rates steady until conditions allow for a cut.