Medicare spending expected to double in next decade, CBO says

Medicare spending is projected to double over the next decade due to rising healthcare costs and increased enrollment, according to a new analysis from the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office.

Medicare spending expected to double in next decade, CBO says

TL;DR

  • Medicare spending is projected to double over the next decade, reaching $2 trillion by 2036.
  • Rising healthcare costs and increased enrollment of baby boomers are the primary drivers of this spending increase.
  • The Medicare Part A trust fund is projected to become insolvent before 2036.
  • Once depleted, Medicare Part A would only be able to cover 89% of hospital-related costs.
  • Lower birth rates and slower growth in the working-age population contribute to the strain on the trust fund.
  • Legislative changes, such as increased tax rates, may be necessary to sustain Medicare.
  • Changes to Medicare have largely been avoided, with promises from President Trump not to cut the program.