economy

Iran war has altered the global natural gas market. Goldman says these 3 stocks will benefit

Liquid natural gas plays are set to win thanks to constrained supply, even if demand eases due to higher prices.

Iran war has altered the global natural gas market. Goldman says these 3 stocks will benefit

TL;DR

  • Goldman Sachs expects the LNG market to remain disrupted through 2027 due to the U.S.-Iran war.
  • Attacks from Iran have reduced Qatar's LNG export capacity by 17%, affecting about 3% of global supply.
  • Higher LNG margins (200% average for 2026-2028) and long lead times for new supply are expected to support the industry.
  • Venture Global is rated 'buy' with a price target of $18.50, implying 17% upside, with raised EBITDA estimates.
  • Cheniere Energy is also seen as a beneficiary, with a 'buy' rating and a $312 price target, anticipating stock buybacks.
  • Golar LNG is rated 'buy' with a $60 price target, potentially benefiting from a fourth floating LNG vessel and a strategic review.
  • A key downside risk for all three companies is the general uncertainty in future energy markets, leading to potential commodity price volatility.