More voters identifying as Democrats and not calling themselves Republican

Latest data from Gallup, showing 49% leaning Democrat and 39% Republican, marks sharp reversal from 2024

More voters identifying as Democrats and not calling themselves Republican

TL;DR

  • 49% of voters surveyed lean Democrat, while 39% lean Republican.
  • This 10-point spread is the largest Democratic advantage since 2008.
  • The shift marks a reversal from a four-point Republican advantage in the fourth quarter of 2024.
  • Trump's approval rating has declined significantly since his second inauguration.
  • 58% of voters now disapprove of Trump's performance, with 38% approving.
  • Democrats are optimistic about retaking the US House of Representatives in the upcoming midterm elections.
  • The share of voters identifying as independents has grown substantially, reaching 45% last year compared to roughly a third in 2002.