economy

What energy insiders in DC are saying about oil prices and a possible Iran deal

Brian Sullivan shares his insight from the sidelines of the Global Energy Forum in Washington, DC.

What energy insiders in DC are saying about oil prices and a possible Iran deal

TL;DR

  • Ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz is rising, though not yet at prewar levels.
  • Accurate tracking of ship movements is difficult and expensive, especially when transponders are turned off.
  • A July 'open' of the Strait is critical for the supply of refined products.
  • The longer supply disruptions last, the more likely storage will run empty.
  • Both the US and Iran are looking for an exit strategy.
  • President Trump claims an Iran deal is in place.
  • The Strategic Petroleum Reserve's status is a concern, particularly around the 300 million barrel level.
  • Energy and healthcare stocks have performed well recently.
  • Vertiv, nVent Electric, and Trane Technologies are highlighted as strong investment opportunities in the power and cooling sector.